An explanation is required about how precisely the new supposed dry tinder’ regarding 20182019 lasted on the spring season away from 2020
If the a few of these possible deaths was in fact, very unlikely, displaced into the second an element of the epiyear because of the COVID-19 shock, the dead tinder’ theory create determine two thirds of your own observed continuously deaths

Percentages anywhere between deaths about afterwards and you can earlier locations out-of epiyears from 20072008 so you’re able to 20182019 (dots) and you will 20192020 (triangles). Setting, fundamental deviations and coefficients away from variation derive from new several epiyears prior to the pandemic. Hidden data about Individual Death Database.
Inside epiyear 20192020, the initial seven months out of was in fact characterised by low levels of fatalities, particularly in Sweden, compared to almost every other epiyears, which had been possibly the outcome of an incredibly lighter flu season ( Figure 2 ).
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